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4Timing Machine Learning Stock Timing vs Weekly AI Stocks and ETFs Momentum (75/25)

At a glance

The headline numbers each source publishes, lined up. Hover a number for its exact definition.

These strategies report performance on different (Hypo, OOS). Live and composite results come from real accounts; out-of-sample, hypothetical and model results don't. Compare return and risk with care.

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82.5%

6.0%

81.3%Best

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38.3%

0.46

1.75Best

-18.4%Best

-19.5%

Inception

2015-09-08

2025-01-13

Holdings

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67%Best

60%

Growth of $10,000

Each line starts at $10,000 on the first date all of them share, using the strategy's own published history. Bases are labelled and never mixed within a line.

4Timing Machine Learning Stock TimingHypoup 47.8%
S&P 500 ETFup 79.9%

No published history to chart: Weekly AI Stocks and ETFs Momentum (75/25).

Every published figureShow 67 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

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ai/tech momentum, equities, etfs, semiconductors, weekly rebalance

Asset classes / instruments

stocks

equities

Leaderboard views (Collective2)

new_highs

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Market-relative

Alpha vs S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.01

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Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

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0.29

Beta vs S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.15

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Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

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2.28

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

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0.78

Correlation to S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.37

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Returns

Annual return compounded, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

6.00%

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Annualized return since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

5.81%

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Backtest length

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1,423

Out-of-sample length

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252

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

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46.75%

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

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773.66%

Return, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

12.58%

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Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

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81.25%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

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81.68%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

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2.72%

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

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14.37%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

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3.03%

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

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82.17%

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

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82.51%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

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4.34%

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

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11.52%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

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14.54%

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

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9.20

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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7.44

Average leverage

0.59

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Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

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53.97%

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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57.14%

Maximum daily leverage

2.10

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Number of trades

4,625

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Percent of trades profitable

54.94%

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Profit factor

1.30

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Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

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$87k

Backtest regulatory fees

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$29

Backtest slippage cost

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$206

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

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0.94

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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4.16

Maximum drawdown since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

-14.15%

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Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

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-49.78%

Maximum drawdown, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

-6.42%

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Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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-19.52%

Maximum drawdown, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

-18.42%

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Sharpe ratio since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

0.42

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Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

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1.19

Sharpe ratio, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

0.86

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Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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1.75

Sharpe ratio, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.46

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Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

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1.81

Sortino ratio, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

1.31

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Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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2.75

Sortino ratio, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.64

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Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

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38.54%

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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38.26%

Volatility since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

8.67%

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Volatility, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

9.52%

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Quality

Community review status

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ACTIVE

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

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0.22

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

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weekly

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Identity

Strategy age

4,060

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Cost & access

Subscription price per month

$50

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Suggested minimum capital

$35k

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Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources