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Bear-Market-Only 3x Bull/Bear Swing with T-Bill Default vs Domestic Leveraged Sector Trend Rotation

Every published figureShow 43 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

bonds/cash, daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, rsi momentum, tactical allocation, trend filter, volatility hedge

crypto proxy, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility hedging

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.14

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.10

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.13

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

14.37

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

8.91

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

47.10%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

78.94%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$290k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$495

—

Backtest slippage cost

$3,646

—

Returns

Backtest length

3,771

—

Out-of-sample length

679

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

25.22%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

2799%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

15.87%

67.14%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

48.30%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.03%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

0.34%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.08%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

3.90%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

3.95%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.14%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

0.95%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

15.02%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.69

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.10

53.07

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-36.48%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-7.57%

-1.27%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.99

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.30

4.69

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.71

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.65

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

26.12%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

11.88%

11.60%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance corridor width

—

1.00%

Rebalance frequency

daily

none

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources