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Cautious Fund Surfing: 2x S&P 500 vs Short Treasuries vs Domestic Leveraged Sector Trend Rotation

Every published figureShow 43 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

daily rebalance, leveraged equities, mean reversion, stocks vs bonds, tactical allocation, volatility filter

crypto proxy, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility hedging

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.06

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.94

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.77

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

22.09

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

21.61

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

53.12%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

54.91%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$293k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$953

—

Backtest slippage cost

$6,259

—

Returns

Backtest length

5,107

—

Out-of-sample length

936

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

18.14%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

2832%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

26.81%

67.14%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

141.89%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.05%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

-0.22%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.19%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

17.02%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

17.02%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.29%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

4.54%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

11.46%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.67

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.04

53.07

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-26.96%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-25.73%

-1.27%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.07

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.40

4.69

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.53

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.06

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

16.89%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

18.21%

11.60%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.87

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

178

—

Rebalance corridor width

—

1.00%

Rebalance frequency

daily

none

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources