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Cautious Fund Surfing: 2x S&P, SHY and TLT Rotation vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

contrarian rsi, daily rebalance, ensemble, leveraged equity, tactical allocation, treasuries, volatility filter

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.02

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.99

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.79

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

23.33

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

22.70

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

53.69%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

53.91%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$313k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$1,142

—

Backtest slippage cost

$7,559

—

Returns

Backtest length

5,107

—

Out-of-sample length

883

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

18.52%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

3033%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

22.58%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

104.25%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.05%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

-0.22%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.19%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

16.34%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

16.34%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.29%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

4.49%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

11.46%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.67

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.82

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-27.64%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-27.64%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.05

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.19

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.52

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.74

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

17.65%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

18.57%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.86

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

178

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources