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Cautious Fund Surfing: 3x S&P 500 vs Long Treasuries vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, rsi momentum, stocks vs bonds, tactical allocation, volatility filter

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.02

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

1.51

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.77

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

22.96

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

22.18

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

55.48%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

54.25%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$1.6M

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$3,623

—

Backtest slippage cost

$29k

—

Returns

Backtest length

4,349

—

Out-of-sample length

883

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

34.39%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

16k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

28.46%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

140.73%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.14%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

-4.20%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.65%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

13.86%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

13.86%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

-1.29%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

-0.05%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

15.18%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.90

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.75

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-38.18%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-38.18%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.26

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.01

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.83

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.47

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

26.23%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

28.91%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.88

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

178

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources