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Dereck's Secular 3x Trend Framework vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 43 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

bonds, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs, momentum, regime switching, sector rotation, tactical allocation, trend-following, u.s. equities

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.06

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

2.40

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.86

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

20.83

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

20.80

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

54.67%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

53.87%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$5.5M

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$7,126

—

Backtest slippage cost

$60k

—

Returns

Backtest length

4,180

—

Out-of-sample length

930

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

46.26%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

55k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

41.16%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

257.32%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

1.69%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

5.98%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

3.21%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

44.03%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

44.03%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

2.31%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

8.04%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

14.49%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.10

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.13

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-41.94%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-36.45%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.17

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.03

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.82

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.66

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

38.84%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

41.53%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.89

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance corridor width

5.00%

—

Rebalance frequency

none

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources