Side-by-side comparison

Compare investment strategies

ETF Timer Stock and ETF Market Timing vs Macro-Filtered Short-Term Momentum with Mean Reversion

At a glance

The headline numbers each source publishes, lined up. Hover a number for its exact definition.

These strategies report performance on different (Hypo, OOS). Live and composite results come from real accounts; out-of-sample, hypothetical and model results don't. Compare return and risk with care.

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0.0%

16.0%

76.5%Best

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6.7%

0.67

9.00Best

-43.9%

-0.4%Best

Each source uses its own scale

22(Heart Attack Index (Collective2))

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Inception

2008-01-31

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67%Best

40%

Growth of $10,000

Each line starts at $10,000 on the first date all of them share, using the strategy's own published history. Bases are labelled and never mixed within a line.

ETF Timer Stock and ETF Market TimingHypoup 119.6%
S&P 500 ETFup 79.9%

No published history to chart: Macro-Filtered Short-Term Momentum with Mean Reversion.

Every published figureShow 43 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

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daily rebalance, long/short, macro regime rotation, momentum + mean reversion, multi-asset, risk-managed, tactical etf, volatility hedging

Asset classes / instruments

stocks

equities

Leaderboard views (Collective2)

ira_account, old_timers, popular

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Market-relative

Alpha vs S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.03

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Beta vs S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.34

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Correlation to S&P 500, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.38

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Returns

Annual return compounded, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

16.00%

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Annualized return since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

15.84%

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Return, 1 month (hypothetical model account)

2.59%

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Return, 3 months (hypothetical model account)

6.86%

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Return, 6 months (hypothetical model account)

18.18%

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Return, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

19.51%

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Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

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76.55%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

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3.91%

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

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0.00%

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

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0.00%

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

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0.00%

Trading activity

Average leverage

1.12

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Average position time

215,702

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Maximum daily leverage

2.67

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Number of trades

221

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Percent of trades profitable

84.55%

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Profit factor

5.18

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Win:loss ratio

5.18

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Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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180.23

Maximum drawdown since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

-43.94%

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Maximum drawdown, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

-17.10%

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Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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-0.42%

Maximum drawdown, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

-43.90%

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Sharpe ratio since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

0.69

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Sharpe ratio, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

0.72

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Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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9.00

Sharpe ratio, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.67

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Sortino ratio, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

1.04

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Sortino ratio, strategy life (hypothetical model account)

0.96

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Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

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6.75%

Volatility since inception (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

22.42%

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Volatility, last 365 days (Lighthorse, daily, hypothetical)

22.17%

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Risk score

Heart Attack Index (Collective2)

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Construction

Rebalance frequency

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daily

Identity

Strategy age

6,829

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Cost & access

Subscription price per month

$79

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Suggested minimum capital

$15k

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Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources