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Not Boring Trends: Leveraged Tech with Rate Signals vs Bond and Defensive Signals Gate for TQQQ

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

inflation hedge, leveraged etfs, momentum, regime switching, risk parity, tactical rotation, tech-heavy, trend-following, volatility hedging

bond signals, daily rebalance, defensive factor, leveraged etf, nasdaq-100, risk-on/off, tactical momentum, trend following

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.12

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

3.03

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.65

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

50.94

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

43.25

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

56.06%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

58.24%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$83k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$197

—

Backtest slippage cost

$1,449

—

Returns

Backtest length

908

—

Out-of-sample length

352

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

79.81%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

730.09%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

84.15%

207.42%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

135.22%

17.40%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.23%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

-2.45%

17.20%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

-2.29%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

77.58%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

77.58%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.19%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

-13.23%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

22.06%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.77

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.17

43.28

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-45.11%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-38.75%

-4.79%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.38

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.36

3.80

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.17

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.99

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

52.07%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

56.95%

31.69%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.36

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

1,607

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources