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Overfit Nasdaq Trend with UVXY Heat Switch vs Domestic Leveraged Sector Trend Rotation

Every published figureShow 43 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

leveraged trend-following, momentum/rsi triggers, nasdaq 100 focus, volatility spike hedge

crypto proxy, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility hedging

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.60

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

2.18

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.55

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

37.57

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

40.89

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

55.58%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

56.08%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$7.2B

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$8.2M

—

Backtest slippage cost

$79.6M

—

Returns

Backtest length

3,649

—

Out-of-sample length

567

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

153.76%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

72053k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

117.96%

67.14%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

479.02%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

1.31%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

11.96%

4.80%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.33%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

60.01%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

59.99%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

2.11%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

5.22%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

14.55%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.97

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.28

53.07

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-51.84%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-51.85%

-1.27%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.82

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.52

4.69

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

3.04

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.50

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

61.46%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

64.97%

11.60%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance corridor width

10.00%

1.00%

Rebalance frequency

none

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources