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QLD Trend Timing with T-Bill Exit on Overheating vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

leveraged etfs, market timing, momentum/rsi, risk management, tactical allocation, trend following

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.13

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

2.53

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.87

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

19.32

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

12.44

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

53.28%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

54.32%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$10.0M

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$9,113

—

Backtest slippage cost

$75k

—

Returns

Backtest length

4,878

—

Out-of-sample length

324

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

42.85%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

100k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

41.80%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

55.60%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

-5.02%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

9.41%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

-7.51%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

17.20%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

28.33%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

-10.07%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

5.70%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

10.68%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.89

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.87

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-48.12%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-22.38%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.16

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.17

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.74

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.37

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

36.57%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

35.10%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources