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SPY 10-Month Moving Average Trend with T-Bills vs D-Fence Trend Switch: SPY or T-Bills with Hedges

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

defensive, market timing, moving average, tactical allocation, treasury bills, trend following, us equities

bonds, defensive, inverse-hedge, managed futures, risk-on/off, t-bills, tactical, trend-following

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.05

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.67

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.82

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

1.45

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.61

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

52.44%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

56.75%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$45k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$13

—

Backtest slippage cost

$114

—

Returns

Backtest length

4,872

—

Out-of-sample length

830

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

8.15%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

354.77%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

18.81%

40.01%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

76.52%

2.98%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.60%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

2.37%

2.98%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

1.16%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

17.26%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

17.26%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.94%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

3.83%

2.82%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

10.78%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.23

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.87

28.47

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-36.13%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-10.04%

-1.41%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.63

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.48

3.57

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.86

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.15

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

14.01%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

12.18%

10.03%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

monthly

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources