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Three-Question Macro Regime ETF Basket Rotation vs Bond and Defensive Signals Gate for TQQQ

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

commodities, currencies, daily rebalance, etfs, global macro, inverse/leveraged, regime rotation, relative strength, risk-on/risk-off, volatility

bond signals, daily rebalance, defensive factor, leveraged etf, nasdaq-100, risk-on/off, tactical momentum, trend following

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.10

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.35

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.48

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

55.87

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

74.94

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

58.59%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

55.53%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$373k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$2,543

—

Backtest slippage cost

$19k

—

Returns

Backtest length

2,864

—

Out-of-sample length

533

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

37.48%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

3630%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

16.47%

207.42%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

37.62%

17.40%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

-0.55%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

-2.28%

17.20%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

-0.53%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

22.08%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

19.37%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.70%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

-0.15%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

13.89%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

3.00

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.36

43.28

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-12.48%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-6.97%

-4.79%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.61

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.35

3.80

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

4.17

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

2.02

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

12.52%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

11.85%

31.69%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.12

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

158

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources