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TQQQ Trend Using SPY or LQD as Thermometer vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, regime switching, tactical allocation, trend following, volatility hedge

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.20

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

3.52

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.75

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

28.22

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

25.33

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

57.00%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

52.76%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$215.8B

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$158.5M

—

Backtest slippage cost

$1.1B

—

Returns

Backtest length

3,581

—

Out-of-sample length

199

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

228.07%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

2158229k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

47.22%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

34.68%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

-7.60%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

13.82%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

-11.27%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

13.60%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

18.64%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

-15.01%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

6.68%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

14.87%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

4.34

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.35

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-52.57%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-35.09%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.22

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.94

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

3.88

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.92

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

61.90%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

60.31%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources