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Transports-vs-Market Signal: Leveraged Tech or T-Bills vs Bond and Defensive Signals Gate for TQQQ

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

leveraged etfs, managed futures, rate-aware, risk-on/off, sector rotation, transports timing, trend-following, t‑bills cash, volatility hedges

bond signals, daily rebalance, defensive factor, leveraged etf, nasdaq-100, risk-on/off, tactical momentum, trend following

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.14

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.74

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.30

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

40.03

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

30.97

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

59.50%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

67.97%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$9.3M

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$20k

—

Backtest slippage cost

$173k

—

Returns

Backtest length

1,847

—

Out-of-sample length

590

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

153.80%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

92k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

20.47%

207.42%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

54.08%

17.40%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

0.03%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

0.34%

17.20%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

0.08%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

5.90%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

5.95%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

0.14%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

-26.42%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

15.91%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

3.38

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.45

43.28

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-45.45%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-45.45%

-4.79%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.28

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.66

3.80

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

4.60

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

0.96

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

45.25%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

40.78%

31.69%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.81

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

3,657

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources