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UPRO/TECL/TMF Trend Switcher (No K-1) vs Oil, Gas, Semis and Treasuries Short-Term Pair Rotation

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

cash substitute, daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, no k-1, risk-on/off, tactical asset allocation, trend following, us equities, us treasuries

commodities (oil, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, nat gas), regime filter, relative strength, risk-on/off, rsi/vol filters, treasuries rotation, trend-following, volatility etps

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.02

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

2.51

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.83

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

24.22

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

23.83

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

54.55%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

53.75%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$27.6M

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$34k

—

Backtest slippage cost

$307k

—

Returns

Backtest length

3,866

—

Out-of-sample length

867

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

67.58%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

276k%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

51.82%

261.52%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

321.28%

6.85%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

1.69%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

5.98%

1.95%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

3.21%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

50.39%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

50.38%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

2.31%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

8.04%

6.14%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

14.24%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.88

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.45

376.45

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-35.86%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-35.86%

-0.69%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.38

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.15

7.79

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

2.14

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.83

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

44.44%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

44.93%

18.11%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

1.00

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources