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Volatility Kelly with TECL, CURE and TLT vs Bond and Defensive Signals Gate for TQQQ

Every published figureShow 42 attributes

Each row is one exact variant (window and basis), so a value appears only where a source publishes it.

Classification

AI categories (Composer)

daily rebalancing, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, s&p 500, sector rotation, tactical asset allocation, treasuries, volatility targeting

bond signals, daily rebalance, defensive factor, leveraged etf, nasdaq-100, risk-on/off, tactical momentum, trend following

Asset classes / instruments

equities

Market-relative

Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

-0.01

—

Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

2.06

—

Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample)

0.83

—

Trading activity

Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest)

5.95

—

Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

6.63

—

Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest)

54.93%

—

Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

54.71%

—

Backtest

Backtest final value (from $10,000)

$887k

—

Backtest regulatory fees

$553

—

Backtest slippage cost

$4,121

—

Returns

Backtest length

3,852

—

Out-of-sample length

912

—

Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest)

34.09%

—

Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest)

8768%

—

Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample)

41.67%

207.42%

Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample)

253.26%

17.40%

Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample)

3.14%

—

Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample)

12.82%

17.20%

Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample)

3.23%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (backtest)

58.92%

—

Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample)

58.92%

0.00%

Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample)

1.70%

—

Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample)

17.88%

0.00%

SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest)

14.61%

—

Risk metrics

Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest)

0.85

—

Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.04

43.28

Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest)

-40.25%

—

Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

-40.25%

-4.79%

Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.04

—

Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.13

3.80

Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest)

1.48

—

Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

1.66

—

Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest)

33.82%

—

Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample)

36.89%

31.69%

Quality

Community review status

ACTIVE

—

Holdings

Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it)

0.57

—

Construction

Logic complexity (node count)

—

Rebalance frequency

daily

Popularity

Remixes (copies)

—

Watchers

—

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources

Compare investment strategies

At a glance

Growth of $10,000

What they say: stated rules

What they hold

Do the holdings back the rules?

Costs, access & sources