Composer · investment strategy
by Composer Technologies · via Composer
A tactical, one‑at‑a‑time switch: hide in short‑term Treasuries when market fear spikes; otherwise, ride emerging‑market stocks when the US dollar weakens, or bet against EM/own the dollar when it strengthens. Uses leveraged ETFs for bigger moves.
Description from Composer
of the return and risk figures:as the source publishes them
What $10,000 would have become, from the strategy's own published history, against the S&P 500 over the same dates. The basis is labelled.
This strategy doesn’t publish a performance history we can chart.
Each rule is quoted word for word from the strategy's own documents.
No rules extracted from this strategy’s text yet.
2 positions as of 2026-10-11
: the platform's backtest holdings, not a client account.
Compares the stated rules with the holdings (or, where none are published, a mix estimated from returns), using tests fixed before any results were seen.
0.0% of weight in (IVV: 3.0%)
1 fund (SEC N-PORT, as of 2026-07-31)
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 100% · 2026-10-11 ()
100.0% of weight in (SPY: 0%)
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 100% · 2026-10-11 ()
5 of 9 funds in its are : BRZU, EDC, EDZ, INDL, KORU
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 100%
Strategies that share its Macro signals label, from other sources first, strongest risk-adjusted return first.
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
How much of what we look for this strategy has, and why anything is missing. Fields that don't apply to it aren't counted.
4 missing
The text the rules are quoted from, with where it came from.
1) If a “fear gauge” (VIXY, an ETF tied to market volatility) is running hot, it shifts into SHY (short‑term US Treasuries).<br>2) Otherwise it checks the US dollar trend via UUP: if short‑term is below long‑term (USD weakening), it buys one leveraged EM stock fund (EDC; KORU=Korea; INDL=India; BRZU=Brazil) — picking the one that fell most over the last week. If USD is strong, it buys either EDZ (EM bear) or USDU (long USD), whichever fell most. Holds one fund at a time.
A tactical, one‑at‑a‑time switch: hide in short‑term Treasuries when market fear spikes; otherwise, ride emerging‑market stocks when the US dollar weakens, or bet against EM/own the dollar when it strengthens. Uses leveraged ETFs for bigger moves.
Out-of-sample return ~24.3% vs S&P 500 ~22.5%, plus a diversification edge from negative beta. Built-in safety signals (volatility spikes, USD regime) with targeted EM leverage aim for higher upside—note larger drawdowns (~59%).
Backtest start: 2013-12-31
Every value on file, each labelled with its calculation basis and as-of date.
| Backtest final value (from $10,000) | $8.5M | 2026-10-11 | |
| Backtest regulatory fees | $41k | 2026-10-11 | |
| Backtest slippage cost | $353k | 2026-10-11 |
| AI categories (Composer) | currency (usd), emerging markets, leveraged etfs, single-position, tactical allocation, treasuries, trend following, volatility hedge | 2026-10-11 | |
| Asset classes / instruments | equities | 2026-10-11 |
| Logic complexity (node count) | 22 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Rebalance corridor width | 10.00% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Rebalance frequency | none | 2026-10-11 |
| Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it) | 1.00 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Ticker universe (assets the logic can hold) | show[ "BRZU", "EDC", "EDZ", "INDL", "KORU", "SHY", "USDU", "UUP", "VIXY" ] | 2026-10-11 |
| Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | 0.55 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | -0.95 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | -0.30 | 2026-10-11 |
| Remixes (copies) | 46 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Watchers | 27 | 2026-10-11 |
| Community review status | ACTIVE | 2026-10-11 |
| Backtest length | 3,215 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Out-of-sample length | 998 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest) | 69.57% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest) | 84k% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample) | 24.34% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample) | 137.18% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample) | -3.08% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample) | 3.78% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample) | 3.58% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 year (backtest) | -17.37% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample) | -17.39% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample) | 5.24% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample) | 16.14% | 2026-10-11 | |
| SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest) | 13.86% | 2026-10-11 |
| Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 1.17 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 0.41 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest) | -59.31% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | -59.31% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 1.27 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 0.69 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 1.98 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 1.04 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest) | 52.14% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 49.77% | 2026-10-11 |
| Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest) | 67.42 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 60.09 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest) | 53.03% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 50.10% | 2026-10-11 |
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
