Surmount · investment strategy
by Quantbase · via Surmount
Alternates between TQQQ and GLD based on recent performance, using daily rebalancing to ride momentum. Adds risk control with Bollinger Bands, allocating only partial capital during extreme price moves.
Description from Surmount
of the return and risk figures:as the source publishes them
What $10,000 would have become, from the strategy's own published history, against the S&P 500 over the same dates. The basis is labelled.
Each rule is quoted word for word from the strategy's own documents.
“using daily rebalancing”
“Adds risk control with Bollinger Bands, allocating only partial capital during extreme price moves”
“Alternates between TQQQ and GLD based on recent performance”
3 positions as of 2026-10-20
by the source.
Fitted to 120 returns (model) from 2025-11-05 to 2026-10-19. An estimate, not holdings: it can't name stocks.
· : 0.75 · Too loose a fit for a verdict; shown as a guide.
Beta to the S&P 500: 2.33 (90%: 1.94 to 2.77)
Compares the stated rules with the holdings (or, where none are published, a mix estimated from returns), using tests fixed before any results were seen.
0.1% of weight in (IVV: 3.0%)
1 fund (SEC N-PORT, as of 2026-05-31)
No stated fossil-fuel rule; the exposure is shown for reference. : 99% · 2026-10-20
28.8% of weight in (SPY: 0%)
Its stated rules make a claim, and its holdings back it up. : 71% · 2026-10-20
How much of what we look for this strategy has, and why anything is missing. Fields that don't apply to it aren't counted.
1 missing
Rebalance schedule taken from a stated rule.
The text the rules are quoted from, with where it came from.
Alternates between TQQQ and GLD based on recent performance, using daily rebalancing to ride momentum. Adds risk control with Bollinger Bands, allocating only partial capital during extreme price moves.
Shifts between tech and gold based on recent performance
Alternates between TQQQ and GLD based on recent performance, using daily rebalancing to ride momentum. Adds risk control with Bollinger Bands, allocating only partial capital during extreme price moves.
Every value on file, each labelled with its calculation basis and as-of date.
| Asset classes / instruments | equity | 2026-10-20 |
| Minimum investment | $100 | 2026-10-20 |
| Industry weights (Surmount) | Financial Services: 100.0% | 2026-10-20 |
| Investors following (Surmount) | 45 | 2026-10-20 |
| Annual return (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | 12.18% | ||
| Return, 1 year (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | 4.49% | 2026-10-20 | |
| Return, 3 months (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | 8.84% | 2026-10-20 | |
| Return, year to date (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | 3.71% | 2026-10-20 | |
| Total return (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | 77.28% |
| Maximum drawdown (Surmount tracking) (model tracking) | -55.13% |
| Risk score (Surmount) | 3.58 | 2026-10-20 |
