Composer · investment strategy
by Composer Technologies · via Composer
Daily, it reads TLT (Treasury bonds) to gauge risk. Strong TLT: move into 3x tech/semis plus 3x bonds and a hedge. Weak TLT: 3x short bonds + 3x Dow. In‑between: 75% goes to the recent 30‑day winner from a small stock/bond list. Very high risk.
Description from Composer
of the return and risk figures:as the source publishes them
What $10,000 would have become, from the strategy's own published history, against the S&P 500 over the same dates. The basis is labelled.
This strategy doesn’t publish a performance history we can chart.
Each rule is quoted word for word from the strategy's own documents.
No rules extracted from this strategy’s text yet.
2 positions as of 2026-10-11
: the platform's backtest holdings, not a client account.
Compares the stated rules with the holdings (or, where none are published, a mix estimated from returns), using tests fixed before any results were seen.
1.1% of weight in (IVV: 3.0%)
2 funds (SEC N-PORT, as of 2026-05-31)
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 99% · 2026-10-11 ()
100.0% of weight in (SPY: 0%)
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 100% · 2026-10-11 ()
7 of 12 funds in its are : SOXL, TECL, TMF, TMV, TQQQ, UDOW, UPRO
This strategy’s rules haven’t been extracted yet, so there’s no claim to compare with. The measurement is still shown. : 100%
Strategies that share its Macro signals label, from other sources first, strongest risk-adjusted return first.
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
How much of what we look for this strategy has, and why anything is missing. Fields that don't apply to it aren't counted.
4 missing
The text the rules are quoted from, with where it came from.
It uses TLT (long‑term US Treasury bonds) as a market thermometer. If TLT is above its 150‑day average (avg price over 150 days), it splits equally into TECL (3x tech), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), SOXL (3x semis), TMF (3x long Treasuries) and PHDG (downside‑hedged stocks). If TLT is below its 23‑day avg, it splits into TMV (3x short Treasuries) and UDOW (3x Dow). Otherwise, it puts 75% in the 30‑day top performer among TMF, UPRO (3x S&P 500), TMV, MOAT, BRK/B (Berkshire), or USMV; rest in cash. Rebalanced daily; very high risk.
Daily, it reads TLT (Treasury bonds) to gauge risk. Strong TLT: move into 3x tech/semis plus 3x bonds and a hedge. Weak TLT: 3x short bonds + 3x Dow. In‑between: 75% goes to the recent 30‑day winner from a small stock/bond list. Very high risk.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~29.5% vs S&P ~22.4%; regime-driven, leverage-tilted tech/bonds with a downside hedge. Calmar ~0.71 signals solid risk-adjusted gains despite larger drawdowns.
Every value on file, each labelled with its calculation basis and as-of date.
| Backtest final value (from $10,000) | $4.2M | 2026-10-11 | |
| Backtest regulatory fees | $10k | 2026-10-11 | |
| Backtest slippage cost | $82k | 2026-10-11 |
| AI categories (Composer) | bond signal, daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, momentum, risk-hedged, tactical allocation, tech/semiconductor tilt, trend-following | 2026-10-11 | |
| Asset classes / instruments | equities | 2026-10-11 |
| Logic complexity (node count) | 23 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Rebalance frequency | daily | 2026-10-11 |
| Concentration (Herfindahl index, out-of-sample, as Composer reports it) | 0.45 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Ticker universe (assets the logic can hold) | show[ "BRK/B", "MOAT", "PHDG", "SOXL", "TECL", "TLT", "TMF", "TMV", "TQQQ", "UDOW", "UPRO", "USMV" ] | 2026-10-11 |
| Alpha vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | -0.01 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Beta vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | 1.62 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Correlation (R) vs SPY, out-of-sample (out-of-sample) | 0.64 | 2026-10-11 |
| Remixes (copies) | 12 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Watchers | 13 | 2026-10-11 |
| Community review status | ACTIVE | 2026-10-11 |
| Backtest length | 3,480 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Out-of-sample length | 954 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, backtest period (annualized) (backtest) | 54.76% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, backtest period (cumulative) (backtest) | 42k% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, out-of-sample period (annualized) (out-of-sample) | 29.52% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, out-of-sample period (cumulative) (out-of-sample) | 166.50% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 day (out-of-sample) | 1.05% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 month (out-of-sample) | 4.62% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 week (out-of-sample) | 0.49% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 year (backtest) | 36.32% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 1 year (out-of-sample) | 36.31% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 2 weeks (out-of-sample) | 1.68% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Return, trailing 3 months (out-of-sample) | 5.66% | 2026-10-11 | |
| SPY annualized return over the backtest window (backtest) | 15.09% | 2026-10-11 |
| Calmar ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 1.15 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Calmar ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 0.71 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Maximum drawdown, backtest period (backtest) | -47.75% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Maximum drawdown, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | -41.43% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sharpe ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 1.37 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sharpe ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 0.88 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sortino ratio, backtest period (backtest) | 2.00 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Sortino ratio, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 1.25 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Standard deviation, backtest period (backtest) | 36.93% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Standard deviation, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 37.71% | 2026-10-11 |
| Annualized turnover, backtest period (backtest) | 22.34 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Annualized turnover, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 34.23 | 2026-10-11 | |
| Daily win rate, backtest period (backtest) | 55.80% | 2026-10-11 | |
| Daily win rate, out-of-sample period (out-of-sample) | 54.19% | 2026-10-11 |
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
