Quantbase · investment strategy
by Quantbase
A simple portfolio (non-quantitative) that offers exposure to into the Nasdaq (leveraged 3x) and bonds (2x leverage)
Description from Quantbase
of the return and risk figures:as the source publishes them
What $10,000 would have become, from the strategy's own published history, against the S&P 500 over the same dates. The basis is labelled.
Each rule is quoted word for word from the strategy's own documents.
“34% TQQQ, 33% UST, 33% UBT”
“The bond portion of this portfolio acts as a hedge against the volatile leveraged Nasdaq performance”
“3x equity ETFs, 2x bond ETFs and 2x volatility ETNs”
“bonds (2x leverage)”
“exposure to into the Nasdaq (leveraged 3x)”
3 positions as of 2026-10-09 · 5 snapshots on file
by the source.
Fitted to 78 returns (composite) from 2023-11-03 to 2026-10-05. An estimate, not holdings: it can't name stocks.
· : 0.68 · Too loose a fit for a verdict; shown as a guide.
Beta to the S&P 500: 1.61 (90%: 1.39 to 1.81)
Compares the stated rules with the holdings (or, where none are published, a mix estimated from returns), using tests fixed before any results were seen.
0.2% of weight in (IVV: 3.0%)
3 funds (SEC N-PORT, as of 2026-05-31)
No stated fossil-fuel rule; the exposure is shown for reference. : 99% · 2026-10-09
100.0% of weight in (SPY: 0%)
Its stated rules make a claim, and its holdings back it up. : 100% · 2026-10-09
Strategies that share its Aggressive risk label, from other sources first, strongest risk-adjusted return first.
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
How much of what we look for this strategy has, and why anything is missing. Fields that don't apply to it aren't counted.
2 missing
The text the rules are quoted from, with where it came from.
The risk section (as "Leveraged Nasdaq + Bonds") describes 3x equity ETFs, 2x bond ETFs and 2x volatility ETNs.
The bond portion of this portfolio acts as a hedge against the volatile leveraged Nasdaq performance, without having to time the market. As such, this fund is still vulnerable to stock/bond correlation risk - both asset classes losing returns in a rising interest rate environment.
Bonds are included in the allocation to counteract against downturns in the much more volatile leveraged stock ETF, meaning when the stock market goes down, this portfolio hasn't tanked as much because of the rise in the bond ETFs' prices; We don't include 3x leveraged bond ETFs in this allocation because their returns over long periods are relatively low, meaning fees and volatility decay eat away and don't offer as much by way of returns as the 3x leveraged stock ETFs; The leveraged exposure to Nasdaq here isn't for the faint of heart, although it's done well historically. In the past decade, it's vastly outperformed the leveraged S&P (5x return) and normal S&P (20x), and has done so on a risk-adjusted basis, meaning downturns for the S&P (like the 2020 COVID downturn) have been worse than the Nasdaq, but that's because tech has been resilient and optimistic this decade. You can't predict the future.
Because leveraged ETFs use financial derivatives to give you 3x or 2x leverage to the underlying, they don't always fully track the index -- the return of leveraged funds for periods longer than a single day will be the result of its return for each day compounded over the period. What this means that, in general, in a rising market, a 3x leveraged instrument would likely deliver more than 3x returns, but in a sideways or falling market, a 3x leveraged instrument would underperform its underlying by more than 3x. For example, if the S&P goes up 5% over a week, a 3x ETF might not go up exactly 15%. This is especially important in high-volatility markets, where leveraged ETFs may underperform their expected returns due to the compounding effects detailed earlier. In a very general sense, the reason for this is that tracking restarts at the start of each trading day -- 3x ETF performance is based on the daily move of its underlying 1x, and not on the 3x ETF's share value itself. Additionally, volatility is tracked by market participants -- if the VIX goes up, the ETN goes up because market participants are buying, rather than an underlying asset rising in value. This strategy invests in fractional shares when available. When not available, it will invest in the nearest (lower) whole number of shares. Please note that this number may be 0 if your investment in this strategy is sufficiently low, meaning our investment strategy advertised returns will be different from your returns.
A simple portfolio (non-quantitative) that offers exposure to into the Nasdaq (leveraged 3x) and bonds (2x leverage)
Every value on file, each labelled with its calculation basis and as-of date.
| Last rebalance date | 2026-10-09 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Rebalance frequency | biweekly | 2026-10-05 |
| Brokerage / custodian | Alpaca | 2026-10-05 | |
| Management / advisory fee | 1.00% |
| Metrics calculated through | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-05 |
| Program in the firm's Form ADV brochure | url: https://files.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?BRCHR_VRSN_ID=1043543 · name: Leveraged Nasdaq and Bonds Static Allocation · covers: 1 · source_key: quantbase_surmount|4 · original_name: Leveraged NASDAQ and Bonds |
| Correlation to SPY (Quantbase data field) (basis not stated) | 0.59 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Correlation to SPY (full history) (client composite) | 0.59 | 2026-10-05 |
| Annual return (Quantbase data field) (basis not stated) | 7.51% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Backtest end date (Quantbase data field) | 2022-12-01 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Return since chart start (cumulative) (client composite) | 28.47% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Return, rolling 1 year (client composite) | -21.16% | 2026-10-05 |
| Daily volatility over the chart range (client composite) | 1.39% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Max drawdown (Quantbase data field) (basis not stated) | -28.80% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Max drawdown over the chart range (client composite) | -32.81% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Monthly volatility over the chart range (client composite) | 8.48% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Sharpe ratio (Quantbase data field) (basis not stated) | 3.75 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Sharpe ratio from daily returns over the chart range (client composite) | 0.38 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Volatility (Quantbase data field) (basis not stated) | 0.04% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Volatility over the chart range, annualized from daily (×√252) (client composite) | 22.07% | 2026-10-05 |
| Qualitative risk score (Quantbase data field) | 4 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Risk score 0-5 (Quantbase) | 3.63 | 2026-10-05 |
| Experience minimum: bonds | 0 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Experience minimum: crypto | 0 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Experience minimum: equity | 0 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Experience minimum: leverage | 0 | 2026-10-05 | |
| Experience minimum: options | 0 | 2026-10-05 |
Composer Technologies · Composer
Composer Technologies · Composer
